AGS Data

Crime Risk

A geographically detailed and comprehensive crime assessment database.

CrimeRisk is updated on an annual basis in conjunction with updates to the AGS estimates and projections data to include the latest national, state, and metropolitan area level trends which are incorporated into the many separate statistical models which are used to build the results.

The primary source of CrimeRisk is a careful compilation and analysis of the FBI Uniform Crime Report databases. On an annual basis, the FBI collects data from each of about 16,000 separate law enforcement jurisdictions at the city, county, and state levels and compiles these into its annual Uniform Crime Report (UCR). The latest national crime reports can be obtained from the FBI web site in Excel format. While useful, the UCR provides detailed data only for the largest cities, counties, and metropolitan areas.

CrimeRisk is a mission-critical component in the analyses of companies in many different industries.

  • Insurance companies extensively use CrimeRisk in their actuarial models to aid in underwriting.
  • Banks use CrimeRisk to assess possible lending risks in both commercial and residential property loans, and in some cases, on loans to particular businesses.
  • Retailers rely on CrimeRisk in their site selection protocols, and to determine the expected security needs of both new and established store fronts.
  • Real estate brokers and agents often provide CrimeRisk indexes to property buyers as a significant value add to their services.

Variables

CRMCYTOTC Total Crime, Current Year

CRMCYPERC Personal Crime, Current Year

CRMCYMURD Murder, Current Year

CRMCYRAPE Rape, Current Year

CRMCYROBB Robbery, Current Year

CRMCYASST Assault, Current Year

CRMCYPROC Property Crime, Current Year

CRMCYBURG Burglary, Current Year

CRMCYLARC Larceny, Current Year

CRMCYMVEH Motor Vehicle Theft, Current Year

CRMPYTOTC Total Crime, 5-Year Projection

CRMPYPERC Personal Crime, 5-Year Projection

CRMPYMURD Murder, 5-Year Projection

CRMPYRAPE Rape, 5-Year Projection

CRMPYROBB Robbery, 5-Year Projection

CRMPYASST Assault, 5-Year Projection CRMPYPROC Property Crime, 5-Year Projection CRMPYBURG Burglary, 5-Year Projection CRMPYLARC Larceny, 5-Year Projection CRMPYMVEH Motor Vehicle Theft, 5-Year Projection